ACUS11 KWNS 020409
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020408=20
TXZ000-020545-

Mesoscale Discussion 0329
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1108 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

Areas affected...Parts of southwest Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88...

Valid 020408Z - 020545Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe wind risk continues in Severe Thunderstorm
Watch #88. A downstream watch is not currently expected, though
trends are being monitored.

DISCUSSION...A small bowing thunderstorm complex has evolved
northeast of San Angelo, along the northeastern edge of remaining
surface-based buoyancy. Around 40 kt of 0-6 km shear (per SJT VWP)
oriented perpendicular to the gust front of this activity should
maintain its current intensity for the next hour or so in Severe
Thunderstorm Watch #88 -- with an associated risk of severe wind
gusts. However, these storms will gradually move eastward into an
area of weaker buoyancy and increasing low-level inhibition. Current
thinking is that this will result in a gradual weakening trend.
Therefore, a downstream watch is not currently expected, though
convective trends are being monitored.

..Weinman.. 04/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!53pZXloUuWXH6fmk-kqxyXP3oBeF7JdHSqCtCZCGTF5P4q9mMUNvOqmsCpvO5x_kNbr1-rg8b= KuPfDq5UPdwMKw-wEs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 30770176 31030150 31400069 32529953 32779924 32819881
32579863 32009872 30969958 30310094 30370171 30770176=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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