ACUS11 KWNS 020318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020318=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-020515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0328
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1018 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

Areas affected...Eastern Oklahoma into northern Texas

Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 86...88...

Valid 020318Z - 020515Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
Watches 86, 88 continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for damaging wind gusts and possibly a brief
tornado will continue eastward tonight. The need for a downstream
watch is uncertain, though convective trends are being monitored.

DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented line of storms is tracking
eastward across central OK and north TX, which continues to pose a
risk of locally damaging wind gusts and possibly a brief tornado. As
storms continue eastward tonight, increasing nocturnal static
stability limits confidence in an appreciable severe risk. However,
given at least weak surface-based pre-convective buoyancy and a
50-kt low-level jet (per FWS, TLX, and INX VWPs), there will be some
continued risk of locally damaging wind gusts and possibly a brief
tornado (especially in the near term). It is unclear if a downstream
watch is needed, though convective trends are being monitored.

..Weinman/Leitman.. 04/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!78EJosZvT0Kg9X3ag88jf2lx1Zl1P7DX7mEKApVrfdeAbIVG2aRlscENs6DEiKQrRK9zO68gc= NEmQCMimt67B5TVjAQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON 32729989 33859835 34479787 35709721 36249662 36479627
36729561 36729511 36509476 36179467 35059538 33839639
32769752 32299831 32129889 32069946 32179976 32439996
32729989=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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