ACUS11 KWNS 012255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012255=20
OKZ000-020100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0323
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0555 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

Areas affected...Southwestern Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 86...

Valid 012255Z - 020100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado risk will increase over the next couple hours
in southwestern Oklahoma -- within Tornado Watch #86.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms is evolving/strengthening
near the triple point around Childress TX -- where several severe
gusts have recently been measured. Over the next couple hours, these
storms, and additional developing storms along its northern/eastern
flank, should continue to intensify as they move into a warm/moist
boundary layer and steep deep-layer lapse rates (around 2000 J/kg
MLCAPE). Clockwise-curved hodographs will increase in size (250+
m2/s2 effective SRH) as the nocturnal low-level jet strengthens over
the next couple hours, favoring intensifying low-level mesocyclones/right-movers. As a result, the tornado risk (some
strong) will increase into southwestern OK over the next couple
hours, along with the potential for very large hail and severe wind
gusts.

..Weinman.. 04/01/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4rMy2v8I9EnNyahuXPUQZ1jRQdvNuqLenig1qzpGaky19o10a_dWuGu-B6czCzeAG_pxoXnyF= 2-Hzxc-m2F-9eW7nDs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON 34499963 34709994 35079993 35359978 35629946 35759902
35639862 35209835 34799846 34489899 34499963=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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