• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0320

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 1 20:40:45 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 012040
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 012040=20
    PAZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-012245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0320
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0340 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of middle/upper Ohio Valley

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85...

    Valid 012040Z - 012245Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Convection should continue along the stationary boundary
    and near outflow from earlier storms. Isolated large hail and wind
    damage are the main hazards with this activity.

    DISCUSSION...A majority of the activity within WW 85 remains near
    and south of a stationary front north of the Ohio River. An
    additional cluster persists in southern West Virginia. Thus far,
    storms have maintained a primarily cellular mode and produce
    isolated large hail. The expectation for the remainder of the
    afternoon is for additional storms to move into the watch from the
    west as well as other storms potentially developing along outflow
    from storms in West Virginia. The cluster in southern West Virginia
    is likely to weaken as it moves into the terrain as temperatures
    there are slightly cooler and convection has influenced the airmass
    farther east. Regional VAD data shows 40-50 kts of 0-6 km shear
    which should continue to support organized storms capable of
    primarily isolated large hail and wind damage.

    ..Wendt.. 04/01/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_zcng2vwqensY73bOUyyemjEFkiApis4HnotYdIVB-WAKpAXT06kTevh5EdI4GdTH-dB0JFoo= 3PbLD-XrmjH-BVrXYU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

    LAT...LON 38288457 38558509 38888520 39108507 39128415 39438271
    39668201 39958050 40077984 39927960 39068009 38568036
    38068031 37638048 37278098 37468197 37858291 37868383
    38288457=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)