ACUS11 KWNS 312023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312022=20
PAZ000-OHZ000-312215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0310
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0322 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

Areas affected...northern Ohio into northwestern Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80...

Valid 312022Z - 312215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80
continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief
tornado or two, is likely to increase as an evolving cluster of
storms overspreads much of the Greater Cleveland area by 5-6 PM EDT.

DISCUSSION...An evolving cluster of thunderstorms continues to
slowly intensify and organize. Though not yet well-defined, an
associated lower/mid-tropospheric cyclonic circulation appears to be
evolving, near/east of Toledo, with further intensification still
possible, as convection maintains east/southeasterly inflow of
unstable air characterized by mixed-layer CAPE up to 1000 J/kg for
at least another few hours. Embedded within 40+ kt westerly
deep-layer mean flow it appears that the convective system will
overspread much of the Greater Cleveland area by 21-22Z, accompanied
by potentially damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado or
two.

..Kerr.. 03/31/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9zKmSRKWW55jKUzdkMJqO9ppokDlY_gq4QmXVud6Sig9CKjiT8Rzakyuf_T6lISf4aZPiHykX= SNofpiX1FysGB5gXlU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON 41658283 41728168 42048053 41507995 41038131 40938306
41338312 41658283=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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