ACUS11 KWNS 302219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302219=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-302315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0298
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0519 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 302219Z - 302315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A severe gust or two remains possible with high-based
storms through the remainder of the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...High-based multicellular storms have intensified over
portions of the eastern TX panhandle over the past couple of hours,
with a severe gust recently noted via the Goodnight, TX mesonet.
Furthermore, there are hints of convective intensification along a
diffuse dryline. These storms are all progressing eastward atop a
deep boundary layer (mixed up to 600 mb per latest RAP forecast
soundings). Given poor shear amid MLCAPE under 500 J/kg, the severe
threat should remain sparse, though a severe gust or two remains
possible given the mixed boundary layer in place.

..Squitieri/Guyer.. 03/30/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-3Vls-eXd0ffew8Tgr7aMbdeNTGejdB97t848EdoOFKqWZGcm6YsAU2KzhqM1xzhopSAYAf_Y= a5i49XWwNB-hSWKNn4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON 33000293 34970129 35350077 35360027 35129994 34779982
34449993 33570059 33060120 32730157 32590181 32560208
32640243 32730259 33000293=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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