ACUS11 KWNS 052131
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052130=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-052300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0153
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025

Areas affected...eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 28...

Valid 052130Z - 052300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 28 continues.

SUMMARY...The damaging wind threat will continue through early
evening.

DISCUSSION...A squall line has started to lose its definition
somewhat across eastern North Carolina as leading stratiform
precipitation has started to stabilize an already weakly unstable
boundary layer. While the line is not as intense as it was earlier
this afternoon, a threat for damaging wind gusts remains possible to
the Atlantic coast given the strength of the low-level wind field
across the region (75 knots at 1km on MHX VWP). Several strong
supercells with strong low-level circulation were observed from the
KLTX WSR-88D off the North Carolina coast over the past 1 to 2
hours. However, as these storms approached the coast, they weakened,
suggesting a more hostile low-level instability present across land
areas.

By 2330Z the threat will likely have ended across tornado watch 28
as the squall line should be in the western Atlantic by that time.

..Bentley.. 03/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4bCsGYHudNcfBufSd_D8pQZ5hT4jKs5j0rORYLwC7tFz2HV-Q4r5bK673rWMdvQH18EIeoq0k= 2QAEKtLcIfc0NmyLBE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

LAT...LON 34477664 34497698 34587714 34747713 34937712 35907708
36607700 37287687 37377610 37177585 36607575 35807545
35557534 35267551 35167559 35027591 34697630 34477664=20


=3D =3D =3D
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